Mortgage Rates Jump 0.25% on Fed Comments and Employment News

In last 2 weeks, mortgage rates have jumped sharply. They are up 0.25% for most loan programs and the outlook is for something worse for the rest of 2015. Day to day mortgage rates are decided by the movement of mortgage backed securities (MBS) as traded on the Wall Street.  The lower the price of MBS, the higher the mortgage rates to consumers. Get a Live Rate Quote MBS lost 74 basis points (bps) last week. See the image below. It had gone down in pricing the week before and this week has…continue reading →

How Greece and China Woes Will Affect Your Mortgage Rates?

Have you ever wondered how the number is derived that makes up your mortgage rate? Why is your mortgage rate 4.5%? 5.25%? 3%? Mortgage rates are born from bonds and the mortgage-backed securities (MBS) markets. Similar to corporate bonds and the stock market, mortgage-backed bonds trade actively every day. Pricing changes constantly. Rates change constantly. Your mortgage rate is a moving target until you lock it. Feeling lucky? Get A Live Mortgage Rate Quote Mortgage Backed Securities Market Movers So, if the mortgage backed securities market is actively traded, what moves the market?…continue reading →

Mortgage Rates Continue To Climb – Now At Highest Level Since Oct, 2014

Mortgage backed securities (MBS) suffered one of the worst weeks in recent times. As a result, mortgage rates continued to climb higher. After the recent MBS sell off, rates are now at the highest level since October, 2014. However, they are still ~.0.25% lower than at the same time last year. MBS is a type of bond traded on Wall Street. It's daily yield impacts the mortgage rates. Just this past week, MBS lost a whopping 160 bps pushing the 30 Year Fixed rates over 4% for most borrowers. A quick look at…continue reading →

Mortgage Rates Jump Sharply – Reach Highest Level In 6 Weeks

Mortgage Rates climbed swiftly this week, reaching the highest point since March 17th, 2015. Mortgage rates are directly impacted by the trading of mortgage bonds on Wall Street. This week there has been rapid and deep movement to Bond Markets both in the US and Europe - like shaking a bottle of Coke before opening it. See the chart below for how mortgage bonds (Called Mortgage Backed Securities or MBS in short) have been doing for last week or so. A Red stick means MBS declined in price that day and a green…continue reading →

How Does Falling Oil Price Impact Mortgage Rates?

Gas is cheap - pleasantly affordable even. Americans from coast to coast are saving money. I am saving money. How long will our good fortune last? It depends, how long will crude oil prices stay low? Low oil prices are offering a hidden gift to consumers that goes beyond the gas pump: They also indirectly support lower mortgage rates. Despite a fairly significant uptick in rates over the past week or so, rates on the 30 Yr fixed remained very close to historic lows. Freddie Mac, who has surveyed mortgage lenders since 1973…continue reading →

Employment, Oil and Fed – Triple Whammy Spikes Mortgage Rates

Usually good employment report in itself is bad enough for mortgage rates. Combine that with a rally in Oil and a statement from a regional Fed President and you have a perfect storm. Employment Report - US added 257,000 jobs last month (much higher than the predicted number of 237,000). The November and December numbers were also revised up sharply. If that isn't strong enough, the wages went up too - the average hourly wage of private sector workers rose 0.5% from December. This is the greatest 3 month job gain in 17…continue reading →

Mortgage Rates Spike On Janet Yellen’s Testimony

After trending lower for most part of 2014, mortgage rates have started edging up. Janet Yellen's first testimony to the Congress as the new Fed Chairperson was the trigger behind the mortgage backed securities (MBS) rout. When MBS go down in price, mortgage rates go up. Yellen made it clear that she would continue the policies seen from Bernanke. She provided an upbeat assessment of the economy and said that recent weak data and turmoil in emerging markets did not change the economic outlook. Her comments suggested that the Fed will continue scaling…continue reading →

Mortgage Rates Trend Lower – Opens Short Window For Refinancing

Mortgage rates for California and rest of the country continue to trend lower. Its at a point where a 30 Year-Fixed rate under 4% can again be a reality. Last week mortgage backed securities (MBS) improved 95 basis points. Whenever MBS prices go up, mortgage rates go down. Weaker than expected Employment data caused a large increase in MBS prices again this morning. Against a consensus forecast of 180K, the economy added just 148K jobs in September. The Unemployment Rate unexpectedly dropped from 7.3% to 7.2%, the lowest level since November 2008. The…continue reading →

After The Shutdown, What’s In Store For Mortgage Rates?

The government shutdown has come to an end, but how does the House's last minute deal and the post-shutdown environment impact mortgage rates? With the debt ceiling stalemate in Washington resolved at least until February 7, 2014, rates could dip in the short term. In fact mortgage backed securities (MBS) climbed 95 basis points last week. When MBS goes up in price, mortgage rates go down. The week saw another .125% improvement in rates and brought the average 30 year fixed rate closer to 4%. Home builders stalled by the government shutdown will…continue reading →

Fed, Lies and Mortgage Rates

There have been a string of striking turnabouts by Fed officials in recent months that have whipsawed mortgage backed securities (MBS) markets. Who Said What and the Impact on Mortgage Rates May 22, 2013 - Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke answered Congress's questions about when the central bank might begin to slow down its monetary stimulus program,  “If we see continued improvement and we have confidence that that is going to be sustained, then we could in the next few meetings we could take a step down in our pace of purchases, he…continue reading →

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