Author bio section

I am the author of this blog and also a top-producing Loan Officer and CEO of InstaMortgage Inc, the fastest-growing mortgage company in America. All the advice is based on my experience of helping thousands of homebuyers and homeowners. We are a mortgage company and will help you with all your mortgage needs. Unlike lead generation websites, we do not sell your information to multiple lenders or third-party companies.

Percentage-254x300California Mortgage Rates for Refinance and Home Purchase loans are up .25% in 2 days and are hitting a 6 months high. On Tuesday, it was like as if the dam broke. After the rates have remained stable and under 4% for a solid 6 months – you could see it was coming.

Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) were hit hard on Tuesday and by end of Wednesday they had fallen a dramatic 100+ basis points. Fall in MBS prices mean less demand for them and higher mortgage rates. For four months the MBS traded quietly in essentially a 15 basis point yield range with a few forays out of the range that lasted just a day or so. Much of the rationale for low rates is still there like the situation in Europe with Greece debts, the Fed constant comments that the US economy wasn on solid footing, and that the Fed would keep the FF rate at zero to +0.25% thru 2014. But these rationale has lessened. Putting it in perspective, interest rates were at 50 yr lows and were unlikely to decline much regardless of the momentary circumstances.

On Tuesday the dam broke. The trigger that started the run was two-fold; Feb retail sales were stronger than thought then in the afternoon the Fed policy statement was the preverbial straw. There was a growing thought that the Fed would launch another easing move to increase buying of treasuries and MBSs; the FOMC said no, not yet. The economic outlook according to the Fed had improved somewhat from the previous FOMC meeting. The stock market has continued to increase taking another support from the bond market.  Even though some correction (read increase in rates) were expected, what happened was too sudden and too steep.

The increase in rates in the past 2 days has been swift. Conforming California mortgage rates which was averaging¬† 3.875% is now at 4%-4.125% and conforming Jumbos (Loan Amounts $417,001 to $625,500) is between 4.25% to 4.375%. These are what we are quoting for 740+ credit and no points. That’s a full .25% jump in rates in just 2 days. All this just in time for the HARP 2.0 launch next week.

Get a Live Rate Quote

Outlook for California Mortgage Rates – I believe rates will not increase too much from here. Will rates fall back to under 3.875% on a 30 Year Fixed? Not likely as long as Europe doesnt completely implode, and that isnt expected anytime soon. The Fed is committed to keeping rates low; but they don’t control day-to-day demand and trading of 10 year Treasury and Mortgage Backed Securities which ultimately controls 30 Year Fixed Mortgage Rates. But whatever happens, rest assured you will hear from me here.

Whether you are looking to buy or Refinance, contact us for a rate quote – (408) 615-0655 or [email protected].

Related Posts

  • 95
    The month of May, 2013 saw the steepest one month hike in mortgage rates in last 5 years. In the last five weeks, 30 year fixed mortgage rates have climbed 0.50% to 0.75%. Interest rates for virtually all the loan programs have increased substantially. Freddie Mac in its latest weekly…
    Tags: rates, mortgage
  • 94
    Its been a bad month for mortgage rates. In 3 weeks the mortgage rates are up 0.25% to 0.375%. Freddie Mac's weekly survey on April 25th, 2013 reported the 30 Year Fixed at 3.35% with 0.7 points. May 16th survey reported 3.51% with 0.7 points. A quick look on Bank…
    Tags: rates, mortgage
  • 94
    California mortgage rates have gone up every single week for last 5 weeks - now up ~.75%. (Get the mortgage rate update in this post). It all started with Fed announcing Quantitative Easing 2. The big question is why so sudden and why so steep! There are several possible reasons:…
    Tags: rates, mortgage, fed, california
  • 93
    In last 2 weeks, mortgage rates have jumped sharply. They are up 0.25% for most loan programs and the outlook is for something worse for the rest of 2015. Day to day mortgage rates are decided by the movement of mortgage backed securities (MBS) as traded on the Wall Street.…
    Tags: rates, mortgage, fed
  • 93
    After falling below 4% for a 30 Year Fixed (the lowest on record), California Mortgage rates have started to climb up. For 6 days in a row Mortgage Backed Securities have gone down in value, thus increasing the Mortgage Rates. Last week Freddie Mac released it's weekly survey quoting the…
    Tags: mortgage, rates, california